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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 26.9 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 3–1 Sunderland | 1.52–0.67 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Burnley 2–2 Tottenham | 1.44–2.05 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Tottenham had 52% |
| Fulham 2–1 Brighton | 1.05–1.59 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Manchester City 2–0 Wolves | 0.86–0.61 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool | 2.35–0.93 | 69% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest | 1.81–0.78 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest |
| Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea | 1.77–2.20 | 32% · 20% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa | 2.18–1.16 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United | 1.19–0.71 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Everton 1–1 Leeds | 0.70–1.38 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Leeds had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.