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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 29.2 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds | 1.46–1.35 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brentford 0–2 Brighton | 1.60–1.09 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Won against the xG: Brighton |
| Chelsea 1–1 Burnley | 1.99–0.85 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 64% |
| West Ham 0–0 Bournemouth | 3.27–0.65 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Draw against the xG: West Ham had 87% |
| Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle | 1.35–0.58 | 56% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Crystal Palace 1–0 Wolves | 2.00–1.63 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool | 1.19–1.73 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Sunderland 1–3 Fulham | 1.85–1.88 | 39% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal | 0.76–2.07 | 13% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Everton 0–1 Manchester United | 0.63–1.27 | 18% · 30% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.