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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.4 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford | 1.92–0.40 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 74% |
| Everton 2–0 Burnley | 1.30–0.79 | 49% · 29% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Leeds 0–1 Sunderland | 1.15–0.86 | 42% · 30% · 27% | Won against the xG: Sunderland |
| Wolves 2–1 Liverpool | 0.44–1.83 | 8% · 20% · 71% | Won against the xG: Wolves |
| Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea | 0.78–3.60 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Brighton 0–1 Arsenal | 0.82–0.47 | 41% · 39% · 20% | Won against the xG: Arsenal |
| Fulham 0–1 West Ham | 1.01–1.09 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest | 2.12–0.97 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 64% |
| Newcastle 2–1 Manchester United | 2.48–1.48 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace | 1.09–1.78 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.