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10 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 27.9 xG (0.57 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley 0–0 Bournemouth | 1.40–2.55 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 62% |
| Sunderland 0–1 Brighton | 0.90–1.68 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Arsenal 2–0 Everton | 2.70–1.05 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle | 1.39–1.41 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| West Ham 1–1 Manchester City | 0.54–2.03 | 9% · 19% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 73% |
| Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds | 0.67–1.12 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa | 1.07–1.02 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Nottingham Forest 0–0 Fulham | 0.95–0.67 | 41% · 35% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 1–1 Tottenham | 1.70–1.18 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brentford 2–2 Wolves | 2.56–1.33 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Brentford had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.