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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 31.6 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 4–0 Wolves | 2.35–0.59 | 77% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth | 2.32–1.19 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Won against the xG: Bournemouth |
| Brentford 2–2 Everton | 2.84–1.53 | 65% · 17% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Brentford had 65% |
| Burnley 0–2 Brighton | 0.88–1.93 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Liverpool 2–0 Fulham | 1.59–1.04 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle | 2.56–1.13 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa | 1.15–1.02 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham | 1.33–0.84 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Sunderland |
| Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City | 1.14–2.29 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Manchester United 1–2 Leeds | 1.27–2.57 | 17% · 17% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.