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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 3–1 Fulham | 1.12–0.88 | 41% · 31% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Leeds 1–2 Tottenham | 1.68–0.53 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Won against the xG: Tottenham |
| Arsenal 2–0 West Ham | 2.77–0.49 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Manchester United 2–0 Sunderland | 1.84–0.71 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool | 1.00–1.95 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Won against the xG: Chelsea |
| Aston Villa 2–1 Burnley | 1.16–0.40 | 55% · 32% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace | 2.03–1.53 | 49% · 21% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest | 3.45–0.30 | 93% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Wolves 1–1 Brighton | 0.56–0.92 | 21% · 36% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brentford 0–1 Manchester City | 0.70–0.85 | 28% · 36% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.