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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 32.0 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford 3–0 Chelsea | 2.65–0.83 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Tottenham 2–3 Aston Villa | 1.56–1.16 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Brighton 3–0 Arsenal | 1.31–1.63 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Close call, Brighton won |
| Everton 1–0 Ipswich | 2.24–1.44 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Newcastle 2–1 Hull City | 1.44–1.59 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Close call, Newcastle won |
| Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry | 1.10–0.67 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Won against the xG: Coventry |
| Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool | 0.79–1.65 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace | 1.31–1.06 | 42% · 28% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland | 2.82–3.57 | 31% · 16% · 54% | Close call, Manchester City won |
| Fulham 1–1 Manchester United | 1.62–1.60 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.