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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0–2 Chelsea | 0.43–1.47 | 11% · 26% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Brentford 1–2 Liverpool | 0.88–1.64 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Fulham 1–0 Hull City | 1.38–0.16 | 69% · 26% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich | 3.53–1.66 | 73% · 13% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa | 1.07–1.63 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland | 4.40–0.13 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace | 2.00–0.77 | 66% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Leeds 1–1 Manchester United | 1.48–0.93 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal | 0.94–1.16 | 30% · 30% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Tottenham 3–1 Coventry | 0.90–0.79 | 36% · 34% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.