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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.1 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 0.49–2.31 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Nottingham Forest had 79% |
| Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City | 0.64–1.81 | 13% · 22% · 66% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Arsenal 2–0 Everton | 1.85–0.54 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Coventry 0–1 Fulham | 0.58–0.61 | 28% · 42% · 30% | Close call, Fulham won |
| Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham | 0.51–0.80 | 22% · 39% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle | 1.78–1.03 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Won against the xG: Newcastle |
| Hull City 1–1 Brentford | 1.92–1.87 | 40% · 21% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 2–0 Brighton | 0.95–1.41 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Won against the xG: Liverpool |
| Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth | 1.17–2.21 | 19% · 20% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Sunderland 0–0 Leeds | 0.99–0.63 | 43% · 34% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.