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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 29.1 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne 1–5 RB Leipzig | 1.27–3.13 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Union Berlin 2–1 Werder Bremen | 1.16–1.05 | 38% · 29% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 FC Augsburg | 1.35–0.75 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Won against the xG: FC Augsburg |
| Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum | 2.48–0.78 | 75% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.17–0.52 | 52% · 32% · 16% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim had 52% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–5 Bayern Munich | 1.18–3.65 | 8% · 10% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Hoffenheim 0–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.45–3.66 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.90–2.30 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.27–0.98 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.