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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 29.2 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 0–0 Mainz 05 | 2.75–0.92 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Draw against the xG: RB Leipzig had 76% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Hoffenheim | 3.15–0.75 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 Union Berlin | 1.06–1.47 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 SC Freiburg | 1.55–1.77 | 34% · 23% · 43% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Werder Bremen 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.52–2.28 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Bayern Munich 0–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.53–0.88 | 53% · 26% · 22% | Won against the xG: Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Augsburg 1–1 FC Cologne | 2.22–1.33 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Draw against the xG: FC Augsburg had 58% |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.04–1.32 | 72% · 15% · 14% | Draw against the xG: VfB Stuttgart had 72% |
| VfL Bochum 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.84–0.87 | 60% · 22% · 17% | Draw against the xG: VfL Bochum had 60% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.