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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.4 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg | 0.75–1.69 | 16% · 24% · 60% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 60% |
| Werder Bremen 2–1 Holstein Kiel | 1.72–0.60 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund | 2.02–0.86 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.70–1.24 | 21% · 30% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC St. Pauli 0–1 Bayern Munich | 0.08–0.83 | 3% · 43% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.53–1.15 | 17% · 32% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach had 51% |
| FC Augsburg 0–0 Hoffenheim | 0.94–0.46 | 46% · 37% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.57–1.33 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Won against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.42–1.52 | 57% · 19% · 23% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.