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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.0 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 3–0 FC Augsburg | 3.77–0.10 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Bayer Leverkusen 5–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.20–1.06 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| VfB Stuttgart 2–0 VfL Bochum | 1.67–0.69 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg | 1.34–0.74 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig | 2.01–1.60 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Union Berlin | 0.58–0.51 | 30% · 44% · 26% | Close call, VfL Wolfsburg won |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Werder Bremen | 1.02–0.42 | 50% · 35% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Holstein Kiel 0–3 Mainz 05 | 0.43–2.32 | 5% · 15% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli | 2.34–1.18 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.