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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.9 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Union Berlin | 2.11–1.39 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli | 0.92–1.42 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Won against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.42–1.29 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC Augsburg | 1.73–0.46 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 69% |
| VfL Bochum 0–1 Werder Bremen | 1.21–0.82 | 45% · 30% · 25% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen |
| Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig | 1.12–1.40 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund | 1.13–1.43 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 Mainz 05 | 1.23–2.34 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg | 1.28–1.23 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.