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9 of 9 matches with xG: 37 goals from 32.1 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 5–1 RB Leipzig | 3.25–0.34 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.09–2.16 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Mainz 05 | 2.58–0.60 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Won against the xG: Mainz 05 |
| Hoffenheim 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.44–0.76 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Won against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Werder Bremen 4–1 Union Berlin | 2.37–1.20 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg | 1.67–1.55 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Holstein Kiel |
| Bayer Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg | 2.91–0.74 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| VfL Bochum 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.56–0.52 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.50–2.84 | 18% · 16% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.