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Bundesliga 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 19

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Matches

Matchday 19 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.4 xG (1.23 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Holstein Kiel2.09–0.2781% · 16% · 4%Draw against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg had 81%
RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen0.73–2.558% · 15% · 77%Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 77%
Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen0.95–1.2728% · 28% · 44%Draw in line with xG
SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern Munich0.36–0.9614% · 37% · 50%Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich
FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim1.09–1.1734% · 29% · 38%Close call, FC Augsburg won
Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart1.93–1.1156% · 22% · 22%Win in line with xG for Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 VfL Bochum2.26–0.5576% · 16% · 7%Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hoffenheim 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt2.42–2.3941% · 19% · 40%Draw in line with xG
FC St. Pauli 3–0 Union Berlin1.24–1.0840% · 28% · 32%Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 18 · Matchday 20

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