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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.9 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen 1–0 Mainz 05 | 2.67–1.25 | 68% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.22–2.08 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Bayern Munich 4–3 Holstein Kiel | 3.44–1.85 | 68% · 14% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 Borussia Dortmund | 0.58–2.41 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Bochum 0–1 SC Freiburg | 0.98–1.72 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC St. Pauli 1–1 FC Augsburg | 0.80–0.32 | 45% · 42% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig | 1.37–0.24 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Union Berlin had 67% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.17–1.17 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Hoffenheim | 1.40–2.26 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Won against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.