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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 23.8 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 3–0 Werder Bremen | 4.05–0.13 | 97% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart | 1.36–0.34 | 63% · 28% · 9% | Won against the xG: VfB Stuttgart |
| Hoffenheim 0–4 Union Berlin | 1.06–2.86 | 11% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| SC Freiburg 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.98–0.52 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.68–1.51 | 17% · 26% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 57% |
| Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg | 1.31–0.34 | 62% · 29% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 62% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.38–2.15 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 79% |
| Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfL Bochum | 1.86–2.12 | 35% · 21% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli | 1.54–0.57 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.