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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 26.9 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig | 0.99–1.23 | 30% · 29% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.83–1.61 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.00–2.11 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| VfL Bochum 2–0 Borussia Dortmund | 2.84–2.58 | 46% · 17% · 37% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| FC St. Pauli 0–1 SC Freiburg | 0.17–1.26 | 5% · 29% · 66% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 Bayern Munich | 2.16–0.05 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 87% |
| Werder Bremen 1–3 Hoffenheim | 1.12–1.39 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Holstein Kiel | 2.53–1.41 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 0.63–2.03 | 10% · 19% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.