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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 31.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1–0 Hoffenheim | 2.01–0.17 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| Werder Bremen 2–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.69–2.39 | 46% · 18% · 36% | Close call, Borussia Mönchengladbach won |
| FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.73–0.77 | 30% · 37% · 33% | Close call, FC Augsburg won |
| Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg | 1.24–3.14 | 12% · 14% · 75% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 75% |
| Union Berlin 1–1 Bayern Munich | 0.72–1.50 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 56% |
| RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund | 1.86–3.06 | 22% · 16% · 62% | Won against the xG: RB Leipzig |
| VfL Bochum 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.46–2.55 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 Holstein Kiel | 1.50–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Close call, 1. FC Heidenheim won |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen | 2.19–1.68 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Won against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.