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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 28.3 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 VfL Bochum | 1.97–0.46 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 3–2 FC St. Pauli | 3.53–0.92 | 85% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg | 1.73–0.69 | 62% · 23% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 62% |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.31–1.36 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig | 1.91–1.19 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Holstein Kiel 0–3 Werder Bremen | 0.49–1.74 | 10% · 22% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 VfB Stuttgart | 3.84–1.11 | 85% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SC Freiburg 1–2 Union Berlin | 1.40–1.03 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz 05 | 2.78–0.81 | 78% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.