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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.3 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.45–0.57 | 59% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Bayer Leverkusen 6–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.31–0.12 | 95% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund | 0.57–1.03 | 20% · 34% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig | 1.82–1.81 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Union Berlin 2–2 Bayern Munich | 0.80–1.41 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 51% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 FC Cologne | 2.98–2.22 | 54% · 17% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.02–0.53 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg | 2.35–1.93 | 48% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Mainz 05 | 1.21–0.16 | 65% · 31% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.