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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.4 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 0–1 Borussia Dortmund | 0.83–0.32 | 46% · 41% · 14% | Won against the xG: Borussia Dortmund |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.85–0.96 | 31% · 33% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Werder Bremen | 1.42–1.04 | 46% · 27% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart | 2.09–1.49 | 51% · 21% · 27% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| FC St. Pauli 0–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.88–2.32 | 13% · 18% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg | 1.16–1.17 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayern Munich 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 2.03–0.23 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Cologne 4–1 Hamburger SV | 3.72–1.09 | 84% · 9% · 7% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Hoffenheim | 1.54–1.23 | 44% · 25% · 30% | Close call, Hoffenheim won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.