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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.2 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen 1–0 Union Berlin | 0.95–0.58 | 43% · 35% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| FC Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig | 0.73–2.77 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 Bayern Munich | 0.79–3.97 | 3% · 7% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC St. Pauli | 2.26–0.39 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.77–0.37 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.37–1.11 | 65% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–0 FC Cologne | 1.90–0.39 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 SC Freiburg | 1.71–0.72 | 61% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz 05 | 1.94–1.45 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.