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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 27.5 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.23–0.63 | 51% · 30% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| FC Cologne 1–1 FC Augsburg | 0.58–1.12 | 19% · 32% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 Werder Bremen | 3.26–1.31 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Draw against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim had 75% |
| Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.66–3.48 | 15% · 13% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV | 1.06–1.53 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Won against the xG: RB Leipzig |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.32–1.90 | 5% · 19% · 76% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Bayern Munich 2–1 Borussia Dortmund | 2.48–1.58 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| SC Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.14–0.89 | 41% · 30% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC St. Pauli 0–3 Hoffenheim | 0.99–2.34 | 14% · 18% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.