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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.4 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Cologne | 1.12–0.94 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Close call, FC Cologne won |
| FC Augsburg 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.71–1.19 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Union Berlin | 2.87–0.74 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig | 0.89–1.09 | 29% · 31% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Werder Bremen 1–0 FC St. Pauli | 1.86–0.76 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 Bayern Munich | 0.32–1.72 | 6% · 21% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.99–0.38 | 50% · 36% · 14% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Hamburger SV 4–0 Mainz 05 | 1.91–0.67 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Freiburg | 0.58–0.70 | 26% · 40% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.