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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 28.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 4–0 Werder Bremen | 3.46–0.41 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1 FC Augsburg | 1.24–0.82 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund | 0.48–1.44 | 12% · 27% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC St. Pauli 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.82–0.69 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Close call, Bayer Leverkusen won |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig | 3.05–2.41 | 52% · 17% · 31% | Close call, RB Leipzig won |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–6 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.70–2.80 | 22% · 17% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SC Freiburg 1–1 Hoffenheim | 1.31–2.54 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 64% |
| FC Cologne 1–2 VfB Stuttgart | 1.08–1.87 | 22% · 23% · 56% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV | 1.37–1.08 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.