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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.7 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig | 0.42–0.93 | 16% · 37% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayern Munich 3–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.30–0.64 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Augsburg | 2.08–0.96 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Union Berlin 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.97–0.59 | 43% · 35% · 22% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Cologne | 1.17–0.94 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund | 0.82–0.99 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 0.98–0.75 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.59–1.86 | 33% · 22% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Freiburg 4–0 Mainz 05 | 4.60–0.11 | 98% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.