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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 26.8 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.97–1.85 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.28–1.63 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Close call, FC Augsburg won |
| FC Cologne 1–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.91–0.14 | 81% · 17% · 2% | Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 81% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1 SC Freiburg | 2.14–1.00 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| VfB Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern Munich | 0.88–3.54 | 5% · 9% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 Union Berlin | 0.81–1.92 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.70–0.65 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen | 1.31–0.71 | 51% · 29% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim | 1.26–1.14 | 39% · 28% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.