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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 25.5 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.43–0.28 | 67% · 26% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Augsburg 0–0 Werder Bremen | 1.03–0.60 | 45% · 34% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cologne 0–1 Union Berlin | 0.55–1.26 | 16% · 30% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.75–1.59 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 57% |
| VfB Stuttgart 0–0 Hoffenheim | 1.27–0.13 | 67% · 29% · 4% | Draw against the xG: VfB Stuttgart had 67% |
| VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg | 1.66–3.53 | 14% · 13% · 73% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.77–2.72 | 24% · 18% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli | 1.12–0.30 | 57% · 33% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 57% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–4 Bayern Munich | 1.04–4.44 | 4% · 6% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.