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9 of 9 matches with xG: 39 goals from 35.7 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.58–2.38 | 25% · 19% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund had 55% |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 Hamburger SV | 2.85–0.66 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 FC Cologne | 1.93–2.99 | 24% · 17% · 60% | Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 60% |
| Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz 05 | 3.35–1.01 | 82% · 11% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Union Berlin had 82% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart | 1.96–2.60 | 29% · 19% · 52% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 FC Augsburg | 2.99–1.79 | 62% · 16% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Bayern Munich 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 3.30–1.36 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig | 1.45–1.04 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Werder Bremen 0–2 Hoffenheim | 1.81–0.61 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Won against the xG: Hoffenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.