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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.96–0.98 | 60% · 21% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Werder Bremen had 60% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC St. Pauli | 3.20–0.54 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Cologne 2–1 Mainz 05 | 2.08–1.52 | 51% · 21% · 28% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.19–0.47 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Hamburger SV had 54% |
| Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.55–0.96 | 51% · 26% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.92–0.99 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich | 2.45–4.56 | 16% · 11% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Union Berlin | 1.83–1.70 | 42% · 22% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 SC Freiburg | 0.85–1.16 | 27% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.