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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 0–0 Hamburger SV | 0.33–0.35 | 21% · 57% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 Werder Bremen | 2.55–0.94 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 1–2 FC Augsburg | 1.48–1.17 | 44% · 26% · 30% | Close call, FC Augsburg won |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Hoffenheim | 0.59–1.35 | 16% · 28% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–3 RB Leipzig | 0.95–1.64 | 22% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 3.82–0.73 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.24–1.84 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart | 1.17–1.56 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Cologne | 2.25–1.38 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.