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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 30.4 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.26–1.15 | 39% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| FC Augsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.13–2.46 | 16% · 18% · 67% | Won against the xG: FC Augsburg |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.10–1.15 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin | 1.37–1.84 | 29% · 23% · 49% | Won against the xG: Hoffenheim |
| RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz 05 | 1.74–2.33 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Werder Bremen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.24–0.89 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich | 2.25–2.41 | 38% · 19% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–0 SC Freiburg | 1.79–0.70 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.32–2.31 | 58% · 16% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.