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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.4 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.53–0.14 | 74% · 23% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Union Berlin had 74% |
| SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen | 0.46–0.97 | 17% · 36% · 47% | Won against the xG: SC Freiburg |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 Hamburger SV | 1.55–1.61 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg | 2.41–0.70 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 1.95–0.84 | 63% · 21% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.46–1.23 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Close call, Borussia Dortmund won |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.71–0.79 | 29% · 37% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cologne 1–2 RB Leipzig | 1.05–1.99 | 19% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Bayern Munich 5–1 Hoffenheim | 6.02–2.04 | 89% · 6% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.