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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 28.6 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz 05 | 2.32–1.51 | 56% · 20% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 FC St. Pauli | 1.58–0.52 | 64% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.64–1.19 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin | 2.06–2.13 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Close call, Hamburger SV won |
| Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg | 1.71–0.77 | 60% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayern Munich | 0.81–1.95 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Cologne | 2.25–1.58 | 53% · 20% · 27% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| FC Augsburg 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.94–1.09 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.94–0.62 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Draw against the xG: RB Leipzig had 84% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.