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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 27.1 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV | 1.53–0.70 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 57% |
| Bayern Munich 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.79–2.35 | 49% · 18% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Cologne 2–2 Hoffenheim | 1.09–1.70 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 52% |
| Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.55–0.94 | 21% · 36% · 43% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg | 1.60–1.79 | 35% · 23% · 43% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.90–1.61 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.73–0.72 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC St. Pauli 2–1 Werder Bremen | 0.20–1.55 | 4% · 23% · 72% | Won against the xG: FC St. Pauli |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart | 2.13–2.23 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.