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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 27.2 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 2–0 FC Cologne | 1.47–0.49 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz 05 | 1.28–0.74 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Union Berlin | 3.02–0.14 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.80–0.78 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Won against the xG: FC St. Pauli |
| Werder Bremen 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.70–1.36 | 66% · 17% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich | 1.05–2.06 | 19% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 3.28–0.78 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC Freiburg | 1.11–0.55 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig | 0.55–3.09 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.