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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 33.0 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 4–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.09–1.05 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| SC Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 2.67–2.11 | 51% · 18% · 31% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 51% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–4 Hoffenheim | 1.04–2.29 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart | 2.73–0.98 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 74% |
| RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg | 2.26–3.24 | 26% · 16% · 58% | Won against the xG: RB Leipzig |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV | 2.20–1.82 | 47% · 20% · 33% | Close call, Hamburger SV won |
| FC Cologne 1–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.28–2.00 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC St. Pauli 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.58–0.38 | 33% · 47% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen | 1.19–2.13 | 21% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.