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9 of 9 matches with xG: 15 goals from 20.0 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli | 0.64–0.51 | 33% · 43% · 24% | Close call, Borussia Mönchengladbach won |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern Munich | 3.23–1.26 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 76% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2–0 FC Augsburg | 2.58–0.77 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.91–0.09 | 57% · 40% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.78–0.27 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 75% |
| Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Cologne | 0.32–1.14 | 10% · 33% · 57% | Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 57% |
| Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz 05 | 1.08–1.08 | 35% · 29% · 35% | Close call, Mainz 05 won |
| SC Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin | 1.19–0.54 | 52% · 31% · 17% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig | 1.45–1.18 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.