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9 of 9 matches with xG: 40 goals from 34.1 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 5–0 Hoffenheim | 2.19–0.78 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Bayern Munich 4–0 Union Berlin | 5.08–0.21 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Cologne 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.55–1.19 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.62–1.74 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen | 1.06–0.38 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV | 6.00–1.52 | 93% · 4% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.55–1.29 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| FC St. Pauli 1–2 SC Freiburg | 1.41–1.96 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Augsburg 2–5 VfB Stuttgart | 1.26–3.28 | 11% · 13% · 76% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.