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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.5 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 2–2 Hoffenheim | 1.93–0.99 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Draw against the xG: FC Augsburg had 59% |
| Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.30–0.63 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 Union Berlin | 1.85–0.99 | 58% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.43–1.78 | 52% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.33–1.29 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Won against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt |
| FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern Munich | 0.49–3.84 | 2% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Cologne 3–1 Werder Bremen | 3.33–0.99 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV | 3.48–0.71 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg | 0.55–0.56 | 28% · 44% · 28% | Close call, SC Freiburg won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.