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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 31.4 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1–1 FC Cologne | 2.01–1.33 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: FC St. Pauli had 53% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg | 3.80–1.33 | 81% · 10% · 9% | Won against the xG: FC Augsburg |
| Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund | 2.25–0.70 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.79–0.19 | 78% · 19% · 3% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV | 1.74–0.57 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig | 1.45–2.09 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.62–1.58 | 39% · 23% · 37% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Bayern Munich 4–2 VfB Stuttgart | 4.61–1.35 | 88% · 7% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Mainz 05 | 0.62–2.32 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 76% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.