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4 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 11.1 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United 1–3 St Patrick's Athl. | 1.03–0.56 | 46% · 34% · 20% | Won against the xG: St Patrick's Athl. |
| Shelbourne 1–2 Derry City | 0.89–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Derry City |
| Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians | 1.60–2.87 | 20% · 17% · 64% | Won against the xG: Shamrock Rovers |
| Sligo Rovers 2–0 Waterford | 1.87–1.31 | 51% · 23% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Sligo Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.