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4 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 15.4 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne 3–4 Drogheda United | 3.46–1.04 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Won against the xG: Drogheda United |
| St Patrick's Athl. 3–1 Bohemians | 1.49–1.13 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
| Derry City 1–0 Shamrock Rovers | 2.16–1.17 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Derry City |
| Sligo Rovers 2–0 Dundalk | 2.85–2.13 | 54% · 18% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sligo Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.