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4 of 5 matches with xG: 7 goals from 9.2 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers | 1.29–0.84 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Drogheda United |
| Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne | 1.72–1.80 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Shelbourne |
| Bohemians 1–1 Derry City | 0.59–0.47 | 31% · 45% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Waterford | 1.89–0.64 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Shamrock Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.