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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 21.3 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari 0–2 Bologna | 0.81–0.70 | 35% · 37% · 29% | Close call, Bologna won |
| Lecce 1–0 Hellas Verona | 1.68–0.30 | 72% · 22% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| AC Milan 0–2 Napoli | 0.69–1.13 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Empoli 0–3 Inter | 0.26–1.10 | 9% · 34% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Venezia 3–2 Udinese | 2.39–0.86 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Venezia |
| Atalanta 2–0 Monza | 1.15–0.11 | 64% · 32% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Juventus 2–2 Parma | 2.43–1.17 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 65% |
| Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina | 0.94–0.46 | 46% · 37% · 17% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Como 1–5 Lazio | 1.07–3.20 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AS Roma 1–0 Torino | 0.63–0.21 | 40% · 49% · 11% | Close call, AS Roma won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.