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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.0 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna 1–0 Lecce | 1.45–0.63 | 57% · 27% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Udinese 0–2 Juventus | 0.60–1.29 | 17% · 29% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Monza 0–1 AC Milan | 1.18–2.54 | 16% · 17% · 67% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Napoli 0–3 Atalanta | 0.77–1.30 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Torino 0–1 Fiorentina | 0.58–0.60 | 28% · 42% · 29% | Close call, Fiorentina won |
| Hellas Verona 3–2 AS Roma | 1.08–1.80 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Won against the xG: Hellas Verona |
| Inter 1–0 Venezia | 2.41–1.07 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Empoli 1–0 Como | 0.62–0.40 | 35% · 46% · 20% | Close call, Empoli won |
| Parma 0–1 Genoa | 1.11–1.39 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Lazio 2–1 Cagliari | 2.91–0.24 | 91% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.