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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.7 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona 0–5 Inter | 0.51–3.23 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AC Milan 0–0 Juventus | 0.31–0.40 | 19% · 55% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Parma 1–3 Atalanta | 0.75–2.75 | 8% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Genoa 2–2 Cagliari | 1.76–3.01 | 21% · 16% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Cagliari had 63% |
| Como 0–2 Fiorentina | 1.14–0.96 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Close call, Fiorentina won |
| Torino 1–1 Monza | 1.02–0.91 | 37% · 31% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 1–0 AS Roma | 1.98–0.58 | 71% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Lazio 3–0 Bologna | 1.96–0.07 | 84% · 15% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Empoli 1–1 Udinese | 0.13–0.83 | 6% · 43% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 52% |
| Venezia 0–1 Lecce | 2.73–0.66 | 81% · 13% · 7% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.