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9 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.8 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona | 1.83–0.70 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Como 1–1 Monza | 1.29–1.38 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 3–0 Empoli | 2.29–0.54 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Bologna 3–0 Venezia | 3.22–0.44 | 90% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Udinese 0–2 Genoa | 0.17–1.64 | 3% · 21% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Parma 3–1 Lazio | 1.55–2.60 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Won against the xG: Parma |
| Torino 0–1 Napoli | 0.26–1.41 | 7% · 26% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Lecce 1–1 Juventus | 1.56–1.30 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta | 0.34–1.30 | 10% · 29% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.